Computable phenotype for diagnostic error: developing the data schema for application of symptom-disease pair analysis of diagnostic error (SPADE).

OBJECTIVES: Diagnostic errors are the leading cause of preventable harm in clinical practice. Implementable tools to quantify and target this problem are needed. To address this gap, we aimed to generalize the Symptom-Disease Pair Analysis of Diagnostic Error (SPADE) framework by developing its computable phenotype and then demonstrated how that schema could be applied in multiple clinical contexts. METHODS: We created an information model for the SPADE processes, then mapped data fields from electronic health records (EHR) and claims data in use to that model to create the SPADE information model (intention) and the SPADE computable phenotype (extension). Later we validated the computable phenotype and tested it in four case studies in three different health systems to demonstrate its utility. RESULTS: We mapped and tested the SPADE computable phenotype in three different sites using four different case studies. We showed that data fields to compute an SPADE base measure are fully available in the EHR Data Warehouse for extraction and can operationalize the SPADE framework from provider and/or insurer perspective, and they could be implemented on numerous health systems for future work in monitor misdiagnosis-related harms. CONCLUSIONS: Data for the SPADE base measure is readily available in EHR and administrative claims. The method of data extraction is potentially universally applicable, and the data extracted is conveniently available within a network system. Further study is needed to validate the computable phenotype across different settings with different data infrastructures.

Risk of Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events After Emergency Department Visits for Hypertensive Urgency.

BACKGROUND: Chronic hypertension is an established long-term risk factor for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs). However, little is known about short-term MACE risk after hypertensive urgency, defined as an episode of acute severe hypertension without evidence of target-organ damage. We sought to evaluate the short-term risk of MACE after an emergency department (ED) visit for hypertensive urgency resulting in discharge to home. METHODS: We performed a case-crossover study using deidentified administrative claims data. Our case periods were 1-week intervals from 0 to 12 weeks before hospitalization for MACE. We compared ED visits for hypertensive urgency during these case periods versus equivalent control periods 1 year earlier. Hypertensive urgency and MACE components were all ascertained using previously validated International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision Clinical Modification codes. We used McNemar test for matched data to calculate risk ratios. RESULTS: Among 2 225 722 patients with MACE, 1 893 401 (85.1%) had a prior diagnosis of hypertension. There were 4644 (0.2%) patients who had at least 1 ED visit for hypertensive urgency during the 12 weeks preceding their MACE hospitalization. An ED visit for hypertensive urgency was significantly more common in the first week before MACE compared with the same chronological week 1 year earlier (risk ratio, 3.5 [95% CI, 2.9-4.2]). The association between hypertensive urgency and MACE decreased in magnitude with increasing temporal distance from MACE and was no longer significant by 11 weeks before MACE (risk ratio, 1.2 [95% CI, 0.99-1.6]). CONCLUSIONS: ED visits for hypertensive urgency were associated with a substantially increased short-term risk of subsequent MACE.

Cost-Effectiveness of Increased Use of Dual Antiplatelet Therapy After High-Risk Transient Ischemic Attack or Minor Stroke.

BACKGROUND: Rates of dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) after high-risk transient ischemic attack or minor ischemic stroke (TIAMIS) are suboptimal. We performed a cost-effectiveness analysis to characterize the parameters of a quality improvement (QI) intervention designed to increase DAPT use after TIAMIS. METHODS AND RESULTS: We constructed a decision tree model that compared current national rates of DAPT use after TIAMIS with rates after implementing a theoretical QI intervention designed to increase appropriate DAPT use. The base case assumed that a QI intervention increased the rate of DAPT use to 65% from 45%. Costs (payer and societal) and outcomes (stroke, myocardial infarction, major bleed, or death) were modeled using a lifetime horizon. An incremental cost-effectiveness ratio <$100 000 per quality-adjusted life year was considered cost-effective. Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed. From the payer perspective, a QI intervention was associated with $9657 in lifetime cost savings and 0.18 more quality-adjusted life years compared with current national treatment rates. A QI intervention was cost-effective in 73% of probabilistic sensitivity analysis iterations. Results were similar from the societal perspective. The maximum acceptable, initial, 1-time payer cost of a QI intervention was $28 032 per patient. A QI intervention that increased DAPT use to at least 51% was cost-effective in the base case. CONCLUSIONS: Increasing DAPT use after TIAMIS with a QI intervention is cost-effective over a wide range of costs and proportion of patients with TIAMIS treated with DAPT after implementation of a QI intervention. Our results support the development of future interventions focused on increasing DAPT use after TIAMIS.

Association of Assisted Reproductive Technology and Stroke During Hospitalization for Delivery in the United States.

INTRODUCTION: Infertility treatment with assisted reproductive technologies (ARTs) has been associated with adverse vascular events in some but not all previous studies. Endothelial damage, prothrombotic factor release, and a higher prevalence of cardiovascular risk factors in those receiving ART have been invoked to explain this association. We sought to explore the relationship between ART and stroke risk using population-level data. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study using data from the National Inpatient Sample registry from 2015 to 2020, including all delivery hospitalizations for patients aged 15 to 55 years. The study exposure was use of ART. The primary end point was any stroke defined as ischemic stroke, subarachnoid hemorrhage, intracerebral hemorrhage, or cerebral venous thrombosis during index delivery hospitalization. Individual stroke subtypes (ischemic stroke, subarachnoid hemorrhage, intracerebral hemorrhage, and cerebral venous thrombosis) were evaluated as secondary end points. Standard International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, Clinical Modification algorithms were used to define study exposure, comorbidities, and prespecified end points. In addition to reporting population-level estimates, propensity score adjustment by inverse probability weighting was used to mimic the effects of randomization by balancing baseline clinical characteristics associated with stroke between ART and non-ART users. RESULTS: Among 19 123 125 delivery hospitalizations identified, patients with prior ART (n=202 815, 1.1%) experienced significantly higher rates of any stroke (27.1/100 000 versus 9.1/100 000), ischemic stroke (9.9/100 000 versus 3.3/100 000), subarachnoid hemorrhage (7.4/100 000 versus 1.6/100 000), intracerebral hemorrhage (7.4/100 000 versus 2.0/100 000), and cerebral venous thrombosis (7.4/100 000 versus 2.7/100 000) in comparison to non-ART users (all P<0.001 for all unadjusted comparisons). Following inverse probability weighting analysis, ART was associated with increased odds of any stroke (adjusted odds ratios, 2.14 (95% CI, 2.02-2.26); P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Using population-level data among patients hospitalized for delivery in the United States, we found an association between ART and stroke after adjustment for measured confounders.

Delayed Diagnosis in Cerebral Venous Thrombosis: Associated Factors and Clinical Outcomes.

Background Identifying factors associated with delayed diagnosis of cerebral venous thrombosis (CVT) can inform future strategies for early detection. Methods and Results We conducted a retrospective cohort study including all participants from ACTION-CVT (Anticoagulation in the Treatment of Cerebral Venous Thrombosis) study who had dates of neurologic symptom onset and CVT diagnosis available. Delayed diagnosis was defined as CVT diagnosis occurring in the fourth (final) quartile of days from symptom onset. The primary study outcome was modified Rankin Scale score of ≤1 at 90 days; secondary outcomes included partial/complete CVT recanalization on last available imaging and modified Rankin Scale score of ≤2. Logistic regression analyses were used to identify independent variables associated with delayed diagnosis and to assess the association of delayed diagnosis and outcomes. A total of 935 patients were included in our study. Median time from symptom onset to diagnosis was 4 days (interquartile range, 1-10 days). Delayed CVT diagnosis (time to diagnosis >10 days) occurred in 212 patients (23%). Isolated headache (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 2.36 [95% CI, 1.50-3.73]; P<0.001), older age (aOR by 1 year, 1.02 [95% CI, 1.004-1.03]; P=0.01), and papilledema (aOR, 2.00 [95% CI, 1.03-3.89]; P=0.04) were associated with diagnostic delay, whereas higher National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score was inversely associated with diagnostic delay (aOR by 1 point, 0.95 [95% CI, 0.89-1.00]; P=0.049). Delayed diagnosis was not associated with modified Rankin Scale score of ≤1 at 90 days (aOR, 1.08 [95% CI, 0.60-1.96]; P=0.79). Conclusions In a large multicenter cohort, a quarter of included patients with CVT were diagnosed >10 days after symptom onset. Delayed CVT diagnosis was associated with the symptom of isolated headache and was not associated with adverse clinical outcomes.

Misdiagnosis of Posterior Reversible Encephalopathy Syndrome and Reversible Cerebral Vasoconstriction Syndrome in the Emergency Department.

Background Cerebrovascular dysregulation syndromes, posterior reversible encephalopathy syndrome (PRES) and reversible cerebral vasoconstriction syndrome (RCVS), are challenging to diagnose because they are rare and require advanced neuroimaging for confirmation. We sought to estimate PRES/RCVS misdiagnosis in the emergency department and its associated factors. Methods and Results We conducted a retrospective cohort study of PRES/RCVS patients using administrative claims data from 11 states (2016-2018). We defined patients with a probable PRES/RCVS misdiagnosis as those with an emergency department visit for a neurological symptom resulting in discharge to home that occurred ≤14 days before PRES/RCVS hospitalization. Proportions of patients with probable misdiagnosis were calculated, characteristics of patients with and without probable misdiagnosis were compared, and regression analyses adjusted for demographics and comorbidities were performed to identify factors affecting probable misdiagnosis. We identified 4633 patients with PRES/RCVS. A total of 210 patients (4.53% [95% CI, 3.97-5.17]) had a probable preceding emergency department misdiagnosis; these patients were younger (mean age, 48 versus 54 years; P<0.001) and more often female (80.4% versus 69.3%; P<0.001). Misdiagnosed patients had fewer vascular risk factors except prior stroke (36.3% versus 24.2%; P<0.001) and more often had comorbid headache (84% versus 21.4%; P<0.001) and substance use disorder (48.8% versus 37.9%; P<0.001). Facility-level factors associated with probable misdiagnosis included smaller facility, lacking a residency program (62.2% versus 73.7%; P<0.001), and not having on-site neurological services (75.7% versus 84.3%; P<0.001). Probable misdiagnosis was not associated with higher likelihood of stroke or subarachnoid hemorrhage during PRES/RCVS hospitalization. Conclusions Probable emergency department misdiagnosis occurred in ≈1 of every 20 patients with PRES/RCVS in a large, multistate cohort.

Comparing the effects of four common drug classes on the progression of mild cognitive impairment to dementia using electronic health records.

The objective of this study was to investigate the potential association between the use of four frequently prescribed drug classes, namely antihypertensive drugs, statins, selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors, and proton-pump inhibitors, and the likelihood of disease progression from mild cognitive impairment (MCI) to dementia using electronic health records (EHRs). We conducted a retrospective cohort study using observational EHRs from a cohort of approximately 2 million patients seen at a large, multi-specialty urban academic medical center in New York City, USA between 2008 and 2020 to automatically emulate the randomized controlled trials. For each drug class, two exposure groups were identified based on the prescription orders documented in the EHRs following their MCI diagnosis. During follow-up, we measured drug efficacy based on the incidence of dementia and estimated the average treatment effect (ATE) of various drugs. To ensure the robustness of our findings, we confirmed the ATE estimates via bootstrapping and presented associated 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Our analysis identified 14,269 MCI patients, among whom 2501 (17.5%) progressed to dementia. Using average treatment estimation and bootstrapping confirmation, we observed that drugs including rosuvastatin (ATE = - 0.0140 [- 0.0191, - 0.0088], p value < 0.001), citalopram (ATE = - 0.1128 [- 0.125, - 0.1005], p value < 0.001), escitalopram (ATE = - 0.0560 [- 0.0615, - 0.0506], p value < 0.001), and omeprazole (ATE = - 0.0201 [- 0.0299, - 0.0103], p value < 0.001) have a statistically significant association in slowing the progression from MCI to dementia. The findings from this study support the commonly prescribed drugs in altering the progression from MCI to dementia and warrant further investigation.

Diagnosis and Treatment of Cerebral Venous Thrombosis.

OBJECTIVE: Cerebral venous thrombosis (CVT), thrombosis of the dural sinus, cerebral veins, or both, is a rare cerebrovascular disease. Although mortality rates after CVT have declined over time, this condition can result in devastating neurologic outcomes. This article reviews the latest literature regarding CVT epidemiology, details new factors associated with the development of CVT, and describes advances in CVT treatment. It also contains a discussion of future directions in the field, including novel diagnostic imaging modalities, and potential strategies to reduce the risks associated with CVT. LATEST DEVELOPMENTS: The incidence of CVT may be as high as 2 per 100,000 adults per year. It remains a difficult condition to diagnose given its variable clinical manifestations and the necessity of neuroimaging for confirmation. The COVID-19 pandemic has revealed a novel CVT trigger, vaccine-induced immune thrombotic thrombocytopenia (VITT), as well as an association between COVID-19 infection and CVT. Although VITT is a very rare event, timely diagnosis and treatment of CVT due to VITT likely improves patient outcomes. Direct oral anticoagulants are currently being used to treat CVT and emerging data suggest that these agents are as safe and effective as vitamin K antagonists. The role of endovascular therapy to treat CVT, despite a recent clinical trial, remains unproven. ESSENTIAL POINTS: The incidence of CVT has increased, outcomes have improved, and the use of direct oral anticoagulants to treat CVT represents an important advance in the clinical care of these patients. Rates of CVT as a complication of COVID-19 vaccines using adenoviral vectors are very low (<5 per million vaccine doses administered), with the benefits of COVID-19 vaccination far outweighing the risks.

Optimizing measurement of misdiagnosis-related harms using symptom-disease pair analysis of diagnostic error (SPADE): comparison groups to maximize SPADE validity.

Diagnostic errors in medicine represent a significant public health problem but continue to be challenging to measure accurately, reliably, and efficiently. The recently developed Symptom-Disease Pair Analysis of Diagnostic Error (SPADE) approach measures misdiagnosis related harms using electronic health records or administrative claims data. The approach is clinically valid, methodologically sound, statistically robust, and operationally viable without the requirement for manual chart review. This paper clarifies aspects of the SPADE analysis to assure that researchers apply this method to yield valid results with a particular emphasis on defining appropriate comparator groups and analytical strategies for balancing differences between these groups. We discuss four distinct types of comparators (intra-group and inter-group for both look-back and look-forward analyses), detailing the rationale for choosing one over the other and inferences that can be drawn from these comparative analyses. Our aim is that these additional analytical practices will improve the validity of SPADE and related approaches to quantify diagnostic error in medicine.

Validation of the International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision Code for the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale Score.

BACKGROUND: Administrative data can be useful for stroke research but have historically lacked data on stroke severity. Hospitals increasingly report the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score using an International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision (ICD-10) diagnosis code, but this code's validity remains unclear. METHODS: We examined the concordance of ICD-10 NIHSS scores versus NIHSS scores recorded in CAESAR (Cornell Acute Stroke Academic Registry). We included all patients with acute ischemic stroke from October 1, 2015, when US hospitals transitioned to ICD-10, through 2018, the latest year in our registry. The NIHSS score (range, 0-42) recorded in our registry served as the reference gold standard. ICD-10 NIHSS scores were derived from hospital discharge diagnosis code R29.7xx, with the latter 2 digits representing the NIHSS score. Multiple logistic regression was used to explore factors associated with availability of ICD-10 NIHSS scores. We used ANOVA to examine the proportion of variation (R2) in the true (registry) NIHSS score that was explained by the ICD-10 NIHSS score. RESULTS: Among 1357 patients, 395 (29.1%) had an ICD-10 NIHSS score recorded. This proportion increased from 0% in 2015 to 46.5% in 2018. In a logistic regression model, only higher registry NIHSS score (odds ratio per point, 1.05 [95% CI, 1.03-1.07]) and cardioembolic stroke (odds ratio, 1.4 [95% CI, 1.0-2.0]) were associated with availability of the ICD-10 NIHSS score. In an ANOVA model, the ICD-10 NIHSS score explained almost all the variation in the registry NIHSS score (R2=0.88). Fewer than 10% of patients had a large discordance (≥4 points) between their ICD-10 and registry NIHSS scores. CONCLUSIONS: When present, ICD-10 codes representing NIHSS scores had excellent agreement with NIHSS scores recorded in our stroke registry. However, ICD-10 NIHSS scores were often missing, especially in less severe strokes, limiting the reliability of these codes for risk adjustment.

Cost-Effectiveness of Smoking Cessation Interventions in Patients With Ischemic Stroke and Transient Ischemic Attack.

BACKGROUND: Smoking cessation rates after stroke and transient ischemic attack are suboptimal, and smoking cessation interventions are underutilized. We performed a cost-effectiveness analysis of smoking cessation interventions in this population. METHODS: We constructed a decision tree and used Markov models that aimed to assess the cost-effectiveness of varenicline, any pharmacotherapy with intensive counseling, and monetary incentives, compared with brief counseling alone in the secondary stroke prevention setting. Payer and societal costs of interventions and outcomes were modeled. The outcomes were recurrent stroke, myocardial infarction, and death using a lifetime horizon. Estimates and variance for the base case (35% cessation), costs and effectiveness of interventions, and outcome rates were imputed from the stroke literature. We calculated incremental cost-effectiveness ratios and incremental net monetary benefits. An intervention was considered cost-effective if the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was less than the willingness-to-pay threshold of $100 000 per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) or when the incremental net monetary benefit was positive. Probabilistic Monte Carlo simulations modeled the impact of parameter uncertainty. RESULTS: From the payer perspective, varenicline and pharmacotherapy with intensive counseling were associated with more QALYs (0.67 and 1.00, respectively) at less total lifetime costs compared with brief counseling alone. Monetary incentives were associated with 0.71 more QALYs at an additional cost of $120 compared with brief counseling alone, yielding an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $168/QALY. From the societal perspective, all 3 interventions provided more QALYs at less total costs compared with brief counseling alone. In 10 000 Monte Carlo simulations, all 3 smoking cessation interventions were cost-effective in >89% of runs. CONCLUSIONS: For secondary stroke prevention, it is cost-effective and potentially cost-saving to deliver smoking cessation therapy beyond brief counseling alone.

The International Classification of Diseases, 10 th Edition, Clinical Modification (ICD-10-CM) Code I16.0 Accurately Identifies Patients with Hypertensive Urgency.

Objective: Hypertensive urgency, defined as acutely elevated BP without target organ damage, is associated with an increased risk of adverse cardiovascular events and accounts for a substantial proportion of national emergency department (ED) visits. To advance research in this space, we sought to validate the new ICD-10-CM diagnostic code for hypertensive urgency within a single healthcare system. Methods: We performed a retrospective chart-review study of ED encounters at Weill Cornell Medicine from 2016 â€" 2021. We randomly selected 25 encounters with the ICD-10-CM code I16.0 as the primary discharge diagnosis and 25 encounters with primary ICD-10-CM discharge diagnosis codes for benign headache disorders. A single board-certified vascular neurologist reviewed all 50 encounters while blinded to the assigned ICD-10-CM codes to identify cases of hypertensive urgency. We calculated the sensitivity, specificity, and positive predictive values of the ICD-10-CM code I16.0 with 95% confidence intervals (CI). Results: Out of 50 randomly selected ED encounters, 24 were adjudicated as hypertensive urgency. All encounters adjudicated as hypertensive urgency had been assigned the ICD-10-CM discharge diagnosis code of I16.0. All 25 of the encounters adjudicated as headache were assigned an ICD-10-CM discharge diagnosis code for a benign headache disorder. The ICD-10-CM code for hypertensive urgency, I16.0, was thus found to have a sensitivity of 100% (95% CI: 86-100%), specificity of 96% (95% CI: 80-100%), and positive predictive value of 96% (95% CI: 78-99%). Conclusion: We found that the new ICD-10-CM code for hypertensive urgency, I16.0, can reliably identify patients with this condition.

Long-term risk of seizure after posterior reversible encephalopathy syndrome.

OBJECTIVE: Patients with posterior reversible encephalopathy syndrome (PRES) can develop seizures during the acute phase. We sought to determine the long-term risk of seizure after PRES. METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort study using statewide all-payer claims data from 2016-2018 from nonfederal hospitals in 11 US states. Adults admitted with PRES were compared to adults admitted with stroke, an acute cerebrovascular disorder associated with long-term risk of seizure. The primary outcome was seizure diagnosed during an emergency room visit or hospital admission after the index hospitalization. The secondary outcome was status epilepticus. Diagnoses were determined using previously validated ICD-10-CM codes. Patients with seizure diagnoses before or during the index admission were excluded. We used Cox regression to evaluate the association of PRES with seizure, adjusting for demographics and potential confounders. RESULTS: We identified 2095 patients hospitalized with PRES and 341,809 with stroke. Median follow-up was 0.9 years (IQR, 0.3-1.7) in the PRES group and 1.0 years (IQR, 0.4-1.8) in the stroke group. Crude seizure incidence per 100 person-years was 9.5 after PRES and 2.5 after stroke. After adjustment for demographics and comorbidities, patients with PRES had a higher risk of seizure than patients with stroke (HR, 2.9; 95% CI, 2.6-3.4). Results were unchanged in a sensitivity analysis that applied a two-week washout period to mitigate detection bias. A similar relationship was observed for the secondary outcome of status epilepticus. INTERPRETATION: PRES was associated with an increased long-term risk of subsequent acute care utilization for seizure compared to stroke.

Trends in Venous Thromboembolism Readmission Rates after Ischemic Stroke and Intracerebral Hemorrhage.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is a life-threatening complication of stroke. We evaluated nationwide rates and risk factors for hospital readmissions with VTE after an intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) or acute ischemic stroke (AIS) hospitalization. METHODS: Using the Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project (HCUP) Nationwide Readmission Database, we included patients with a principal discharge diagnosis of ICH or AIS from 2016 to 2019. Patients who had VTE diagnosis or history of VTE during the index admission were excluded. We performed Cox regression models to determine factors associated with VTE readmission, compared rates between AIS and ICH and developed post-stroke VTE risk score. We estimated VTE readmission rates per day over a 90-day time window post-discharge using linear splines. RESULTS: Of the total 1,459,865 patients with stroke, readmission with VTE as the principal diagnosis within 90 days occurred in 0.26% (3,407/1,330,584) AIS and 0.65% (843/129,281) ICH patients. The rate of VTE readmission decreased within first 4-6 weeks (P<0.001). In AIS, cancer, obesity, higher National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score, longer hospital stay, home or rehabilitation disposition, and absence of atrial fibrillation were associated with VTE readmission. In ICH, longer hospital stay and rehabilitation disposition were associated with VTE readmission. The VTE rate was higher in ICH compared to AIS (adjusted hazard ratio 2.86, 95% confidence interval 1.93-4.25, P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: After stroke, VTE readmission risk is highest within the first 4-6 weeks and nearly three-fold higher after ICH vs. AIS. VTE risk is linked to decreased mobility and hypercoagulability. Studies are needed to test short-term VTE prophylaxis beyond hospitalization in high-risk patients.

Prevalence of Neurological Complaints in US Emergency Departments, 2016-2019.

This study uses data from the National Hospital Ambulatory Medical Care Survey to analyze adults with a neurological complaint as their reason for an emergency department visit.

Risk assessment of the acute stroke diagnostic process using failure modes, effects, and criticality analysis.

INTRODUCTION: To date, many emergency department (ED)-based quality improvement studies and interventions for acute stroke patients have focused on expediting time-sensitive treatments, particularly reducing door-to-needle time. However, prior to treatment, a diagnosis of stroke must be reached. The ED-based stroke diagnostic process has been understudied despite its importance in assuring high-quality and safe care. METHODS: We used a learning collaborative to conduct a failure modes, effects, and criticality analysis (FMECA) of the acute stroke diagnostic process at three health systems in Chicago, IL. Our FMECA was designed to prospectively identify, characterize, and rank order failures in the systems and processes of care that offer opportunities for redesign to improve stroke diagnostic accuracy. Multidisciplinary teams involved in stroke care at five different sites participated in moderated sessions to create an acute stroke diagnostic process map as well as identify failures and existing safeguards. For each failure, a risk priority number and criticality score were calculated. Failures were then ranked, with the highest scores representing the most critical failures to be targeted for redesign. RESULTS: A total of 28 steps were identified in the acute stroke diagnostic process. Iterative steps in the process include information gathering, clinical examination, interpretation of diagnostic test results, and reassessment. We found that failure to use existing screening scales to identify patients with large-vessel occlusions early on in their ED course ranked highest. Failure to obtain an accurate history of the index event, failure to suspect acute stroke in triage, and failure to use established stroke screening tools at ED arrival to identify potential stroke patients were also highly ranked. CONCLUSIONS: Our study results highlight the critical importance of upstream steps in the acute stroke diagnostic process, particularly the use of existing tools to identify stroke patients who may be eligible for time-sensitive treatments.

Prevalence of neurological complaints among emergency department patients with severe hypertension.

OBJECTIVE: Severe hypertension can accompany neurological symptoms without obvious signs of target organ damage. However, acute cerebrovascular events can also be a cause and consequence of severe hypertension. We therefore use US population-level data to determine prevalence and clinical characteristics of patients with severe hypertension and neurological complaints. METHODS: We used nationally representative data from the National Hospital Ambulatory Medical Care Survey (NHAMCS) collected in 2016-2019 to identify adult ED patients with severely elevated blood pressure (BP) defined as systolic BP ≥ 180 mmHg and/or diastolic BP ≥120 mmHg. We used ED reason for visit data fields to define neurological complaints and used diagnosis data fields to define acute target organ damage. We applied survey visit weights to obtain national estimates. RESULTS: Based on 5083 observations, an estimated 40.4 million patients (95% CI: 37.5-43.0 million) in EDs nationwide from 2016 to 2019 had severe hypertension, equating to 6.1% (95% CI: 5.7-6.5%) of all ED visits. Only 2.8% (95% CI: 2.0-3.9%) of ED patients with severe hypertension were diagnosed with acute cerebrovascular disease; hypertensive urgency was diagnosed in 92.0% (95% CI: 90.3-93.4%). Neurological complaints were frequent in both patients with (75.6%) and without (19.9%) cerebrovascular diagnoses. Hypertensive urgency patients with neurological complaints were more often older, female, had prior stroke/TIA, and had neuroimaging than patients without these complaints. Non-migraine headache and vertigo were the most common neurological complaints recorded. CONCLUSION: In a nationally representative survey, one-in-sixteen ED patients had severely elevated BP and one-fifth of those patients had neurological complaints.

Factors Associated with Anticoagulation Initiation for New Atrial Fibrillation in an Urban Emergency Department.

Objective: To explore factors associated with anticoagulation (AC) initiation after atrial fibrillation (AF) diagnosis. Design: Retrospective cohort study. Setting: Urban medical center. Patients: Adults with emergency department (ED) diagnosis of new onset AF from 1/1/2017-1/1/2020 discharged home. Methods: We compared patients initiated on AC, our primary outcome, to those not initiated on AC. Stroke, major bleeding, and AC initiation within 1 year of visit were secondary outcomes. We hypothesized that minority race and non-English language preference are associated with failure to initiate AC. Results: Of 111 patients with AF, 88 met inclusion criteria. Mean age was 65 (SD 15); 47 (53%) were women. 49 (56%) patients were initiated on AC. Age (61 vs 68 years; P=.02), non-English language (28% vs 10%; P=.03), leaving ED against medical advice (AMA) (36% vs 14%; P=.04), and CHA2DS2-VASc score of 1 (41% vs 6%; P<=.001) were associated with no AC initiation. There were no associations between patient-reported race/ethnicity and AC. Cardiology consultation (83.67% vs 30.78%; P<.0001) and higher median CHA2DS2-VASc score (3[2-4]) vs. 2[1-4]; P=.047) were associated with AC. Of 73 patients with follow-up data at 1 year, 2 (8%) not initiated on AC had strokes, 2 (4%) initiated on AC had major bleeds, and 15 (62.5%) not initiated on AC in the ED subsequently were initiated on AC. Conclusion: More than half of ED patients with new AF eligible for AC were initiated on it. Work to improve AC utilization among patients with new AF who left AMA from ED and those who prefer to communicate in a non-English language may be warranted.

Short-term stroke risk after emergency department treat-and-release headache visit.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate whether patients discharged to home after an emergency department (ED) visit for headache face a heightened short-term risk of stroke. BACKGROUND: Stroke hospitalizations that occur soon after ED visits for headache complaints may reflect diagnostic error. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study using statewide administrative claims data for all ED visits and admissions at nonfederal hospitals in Florida 2005-2018 and New York 2005-2016. Using standard International Classification of Diseases (ICD) codes, we identified adult patients discharged to home from the ED (treat-and-release visit) with a benign headache diagnosis (cohort of interest) as well as those with a diagnosis of renal colic or back pain (negative controls). The primary study outcome was hospitalization within 30 days for stroke (ischemic or hemorrhagic) defined using validated ICD codes. We assess the relationship between index ED visit discharge diagnosis and stroke hospitalization adjusting for patient demographics and vascular comorbidities. RESULTS: We identified 1,502,831 patients with an ED treat-and-release headache visit; mean age was 41 (standard deviation: 17) years and 1,044,520 (70%) were female. A total of 2150 (0.14%) patients with headache were hospitalized for stroke within 30 days. In adjusted analysis, stroke risk was higher after headache compared to renal colic (hazard ratio [HR]: 2.69; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.29-3.16) or back pain (HR: 4.0; 95% CI: 3.74-4.3). In the subgroup of 26,714 (1.78%) patients with headache who received brain magnetic resonance imaging at index ED visit, stroke risk was only slightly elevated compared to renal colic (HR: 1.47; 95% CI: 1.22-1.78) or back pain (HR: 1.49; 95% CI: 1.24-1.80). CONCLUSION: Approximately 1 in 700 patients discharged to home from the ED with a headache diagnosis had a stroke in the following month. Stroke risk was three to four times higher after an ED visit for headache compared to renal colic or back pain.

Laparoscopically Confirmed Endometriosis and Risk of Incident Stroke: A Prospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Prior research suggests that women with endometriosis are at greater risk of coronary heart disease. Therefore, our objective was to prospectively investigate the association between laparoscopically confirmed endometriosis and risk of incident stroke during 28 years of follow-up. METHODS: Participants in the NHSII cohort study (Nurses' Health Study II) were followed from 1989 when they were between the ages of 25 to 42 until 2017 for development of incident stroke (ischemic and hemorrhagic). Cox proportional hazard models were used to calculate hazard ratios and 95% CI, with adjustment for potential confounding variables (alcohol intake, body mass index at age 18, current body mass index, age at menarche, menstrual cycle pattern in adolescence, current menstrual cycle pattern, parity, oral contraceptive use history, smoking history, diet quality, physical activity, NSAID use, aspirin use, race/ethnicity, and income). We estimated the proportion of the total association mediated by history of hypertension, hypercholesterolemia, hysterectomy/oophorectomy, and hormone therapy. We also tested for effect modification by age (<50, ≥50 years), infertility history, body mass index (<25, ≥25 kg/m2), and menopausal status. RESULTS: We documented 893 incident cases of stroke during 2 770 152 person-years of follow-up. Women with laparoscopically confirmed endometriosis had a 34% greater risk of stroke in multivariable-adjusted models (hazard ratio, 1.34 [95% CI, 1.10-1.62]), compared to those without a history of endometriosis. Of the total association of endometriosis with risk of stroke, the largest proportion was attributed to hysterectomy/oophorectomy (39% mediated [95% CI, 14%-71%]) and hormone therapy (16% mediated [95% CI, 5%-40%]). We observed no differences in the relationship between endometriosis and stroke by age, infertility history, body mass index, or menopausal status. CONCLUSIONS: We observed that women with endometriosis were at elevated risk of stroke. Women and their health care providers should be aware of endometriosis history, maximize primary cardiovascular prevention, and discuss signs and symptoms of cardiovascular disease.